A fortune-telling game (1650-1750). Credit: Collection of the British Library.

It's difficult to say with confidence that Trump will have any patience for the nuances involved in America's longest-running war.

What will Trump will do in Afghanistan? He boasts that he wants to leave the country, but many of his military advisers likely want to maintain a US presence to help act as a bulwark against ISIS.

Again, little word on the humanitarian aspect of America's actions in Afghanistan and its neighbors. Meanwhile, Pakistan forces the return of hundreds of thousands of Afghan refugees, with the complicit assistance of the UN Refugee Agency.

Feb 13, 2017

Trump's main comments on the Iraq War since taking office have mostly been to bemoan the money wasted on it—which, fair—but also to complain that America never profited from Iraq's oil, even though that would have broken the Geneva Conventions. But he doesn't know what those are anyway.

It is impossible to distinguish bellicose rhetoric from real operational planning. A confrontation with Iran will probably not come soon; but in a year or two, when previous policies conceived under Obama have run their course, Trump may well feel that he has to show how much tougher and more effective he is than his predecessor.

Oh, good: Patrick Cockburn predicts President Trump's war with Iran is not too far away.
↩︎ The Independent
Feb 13, 2017
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