Opinions

Any Given Election

What’s a devout gambler supposed to do when the sports landscape looks so bleak? Why, turn to the current presidential race, naturally. A state-by-state rundown on your best bets.

As Tony Soprano said of football, “You know this is my busy season!” Well, for obsessive unemployables like myself, the upcoming election is also a hectic time. With little to do besides sulk on the meaninglessness of existence and how much my football Giants are going to suck this year, I turn desperately to the presidential election for gambling thrills.

So, for anyone else whose football season already looks scuttled (say, all you folks down in Miami), here are some state-by-state electoral prognostications to hand over to your bookie. Leave the odds-making up to the professionals, though—the Supreme Court is expected to hand down the lines any day now.
 

Alabama

W’s tide rolls, and the university mascot is an elephant, after all.

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Alaska

One of the last four wildernesses on earth (Alaska, Antarctica, Amazon basin, Karl Rove’s morals) and the grizzlies like it that way. But why oh why do they always go the other way? I’m betting the bears claw down a polling station or two and defend the homeland.

Pick: Probable Kerry
 

Arizona

Senior citizens concerned about prescription medication, national health insurance, and Social Security are smacked into the Grand Canyon by cactus-wielding bastards: AZ goes to W by one vote.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Arkansas

Alas, Bubba, we knew you well.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

California

Arnold can’t terminate California dreamin.’

Pick: Definite Kerry
 

Colorado

Ghost of John Denver sings “Rocky Mountain Low,” then Neil Bush steals the copyright.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Connecticut

Prosperous enough to comprehend the Bush Administration’s doomsday economic policies. Also, given three tries to spell the state where his alma mater Yale is located, W doesn’t even come close. “Connekt-, no, Conneti-, no…”

Pick: Probable Kerry
 

District of Columbia

Can they vote?

Pick: Nader
 

Delaware

Who do you think a bunch of Baptist chicken farmers are going to vote for, RuPaul? Maybe their sons will, but the credit hustlers want to protect their Mercs in the garage.

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Florida

Battleground State: The motherfucking Jeb Effect, all over again.

Edge: Bush



Georgia

Despite some righteous noise out of Atlanta and Athens, by the time votes are counted, we’ll all wish Georgia off our minds.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Hawaii

I’ve always suspected that Hawaii is like a secretly evil place. Hence, W.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Idaho

Spuds love W. Say it again, it’s fun: Spuds love W! Spuds love W!

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Illinois

Alan Keyes and the GOP can kiss Obama’s skinny ass.

Pick: Definite Kerry
 

Indiana

Actually, this might be close, but them Hoosiers stick to their own Quayle-esque kind.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Iowa

Battleground State: Not once in my life have I actually found Iowa on the map. Happily, neither can W.

Edge: Kerry



Kansas

Carry on, my wayward son, there’ll be war when you are done.

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Kentucky

The Colonel finally reveals his secret recipe: a bunch of bullshit.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Louisiana

‘Tis a pity she’s a whore. (I needed to quote that line somewhere and this seemed perfect.)

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Maine

A hard-assed logger wearing L.L. Bean clothing is a hard-assed logger.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Maryland

Dude, have you ever been there? Native Bal’morean John Waters is the exception, not the rule. W wins at final re-count by a plate of crabcakes.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Massachusetts

Bay Staters want pork barrels to go with their beans, and who blames ‘em?

Pick: Definite Kerry
 

Michigan

Battleground State: The NBA champion Pistons, Kid Rock and Eminem all bring out their posses to make sure no slim shadies steal the vote.

Edge: Kerry



Minnesota

If it bleeds we can kill it: Jessie “The Body” Ventura dons his pink feather boa and slays W’s predators. Rowdy Roddy cleans up the remains.

Pick: Probable Kerry
 

Mississippi

*Sigh*

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Missouri

A shitstorm of duplicity and backroom machinations on Election Day in St. Louis, but by the end the Arch smiles on W.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Montana

I’m totally guessing here.

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Nebraska

Can’t see the Boston Beaneater for the cornfield.

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Nevada

Battleground State: What happens in Vegas should die in Vegas.

Pick: Definite Bush



New Hampshire

Saying archconservative NH goes to Kerry because it neighbors Massachusetts is like saying the Hatfields will turn out the vote for Sheriff McCoy.

Pick: Probable Bush
 

New Jersey

The Garden State almost withers on the vine until Kerry takes James Gandolfini on a whistle-stop tour of NJ’s finest butcher shops.

Pick: Probable Kerry
 

New Mexico

When Kerry touches down in Roswell, everyone thinks he’s an alien and shouts “Hooray!”

Pick: Probable Kerry
 

New York

Because Gotham City wishes to rid itself of supervillains.

Pick: Absolute Kerry
 

North Carolina

If the choice is between John Edwards or cigarettes, which would you choose? Thought so—smoke up, Johnny.

Edge: Bush
 

North Dakota

Umm, this seemed like a good spot to type “North Dakota.”

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Ohio

Battleground State: Despite tin soldiers and Karl Rove coming, Cleveland will rock the vote JFK’s way.

Edge: Kerry



Oklahoma

Liberals piss the grapes of wrath off.

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Oregon

Battleground State: A hard-assed logger smoking quality weed is a hard-assed logger.

Edge: Bush



Pennsylvania

Battleground State: Was ever woman in this humour woo’d? Was ever woman in this humour won? In the state that once booed Santa Claus, pick-em.

Edge: Pick-em



Rhode Island

Farrelly Brothers release new blockbuster There’s Something about Kerry.

Pick: Probable Kerry
 

South Carolina

Myrtle Beach, Smyrtle Beach.

Pick: Definite Bush
 

South Dakota

Tom Daschle tries too late to prove he isn’t a complete suckwad, fails, and the state is moved to the other column.

Pick: Probable Kerry
 

Tennessee

C’mon Knoxville and Beale Street, raise up and prove me wrong! Send the Chattanooga Choo-Choo Kerry’s way!

Pick: Probable Bush
 

Texas

You gotta be shitting me?

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Utah

Tom Ridge leads the Mormon Tabernacle Choir in a rousing rendition of “He’s Got the Whole World In His Guns.”

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Vermont

Flinty Vermonters are keen enough to choose lesser of two evils.

Pick: Definite Kerry
 

Virginia

Home of Stonewall Jackson stonewalls hope.

Pick: Definite Bush
 

Washington

Battleground State: Seattle slew Boeing, and Kerry wins by a nose.

Edge: Kerry



West Virginia

Battleground State: Strip mining doesn’t mean naked girls with little lights on their helmets. Or does it? Another pick-em.

Edge: Pick-em



Wisconsin

Battleground State: Madison dope fiends and Milwaukee freaks ease Kerry down the yellow cheese road.

Edge: Kerry



Wyoming

There, burning malevolently above the open range, the Red Eye of Cheney!

Pick: Definite Bush
 



The Winner

Good God, I don’t know. Go Kerry, beat W, and give us some hope! Rooting is allowed.
 

biopic

Tobias Seamon recently published the novella The Fair Grounds. More can be found here. More by Tobias Seamon